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Problems With Polls - The Polls Are Broken
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Don't Panic About the Polls

By Kristi Wachter, 11 October, 2024

It's alarming to see some of the polls in the headlines right now.

But don't panic.

Polls have been pretty inaccurate in the past few years.

This site provides some examples of polls that were way off, talks about some reasons for the problems, and highlights some other indicators that may be useful.

As you read, remember:

The polls in today's headlines may be very wrong about the actual results of an election.

Polling is hard, and it's getting harder. 

So don't let the polls convince you that an election is already won or lost.

 

If you're worried about an election, take action.

  • VOTE.
  • Volunteer to get more people to vote.
  • Donate money.
  • Talk to your friends and family.

 

Panicking doesn't help. Doing something does.

 

 

Remember:

Harris can win.

It's going to be close.

We need every vote.

You can help us win.

Contents

  • Don't Panic About the Polls
  • About This Site
  • Pollsters Know Something's Wrong
    • 538 on Bias
    • Polls are improbably close - is it due to pollsters adusting things?
  • These Polls Were Wrong
  • Looking at Other Data Instead of Polls
    • More Donors to Harris in Almost Every State
    • Harris Volunteers - Over 170,000 Volunteers In July Alone
    • Harris Leads in Staff and Field Offices
    • Democrats Massively Outdoing Republicans at Canvassing
    • Grassroots Groups Knocking Millions of Doors
    • Ten Factors That Point to a Harris Win
  • Don't Panic - Do Something

Remember:

Harris can win.

It's going to be close.

We need every vote.

You can help us win.

More info coming soon

There's more info on the way -

Please keep checking back for more polls and more posts.

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