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How Pollsters Have Adjusted Their Approach - Daily Kos

By Kristi Wachter, 4 October, 2024

Over at Daily Kos, J Ash Bowie's Forget the polls! Here's why... summarizes an Atlantic article about problems with polling:

The main takeaway here is that pollsters have adjusted their methods to try to adjust for the failures of 2016 and 2020, but only in one direction: towards Trump. Oddly enough, there is no evidence that they have tried to adjust their methods to the rampant polling errors since 2021, starting with the dramatic failure of the Republicans to match 2022 mid-term polling indicating an electoral bloodbath. 

Bowie lists a number of polls that were wrong, and notes that polls are failing to capture the effect of the Dobbs decision on voters.

Remember:

Harris can win.

It's going to be close.

We need every vote.

You can help us win.

Contents

  • Don't Panic About the Polls
  • About This Site
  • Pollsters Know Something's Wrong
    • 538 on Bias
    • Polls are improbably close - is it due to pollsters adusting things?
  • These Polls Were Wrong
  • Looking at Other Data Instead of Polls
    • More Donors to Harris in Almost Every State
    • Harris Volunteers - Over 170,000 Volunteers In July Alone
    • Harris Leads in Staff and Field Offices
    • Democrats Massively Outdoing Republicans at Canvassing
    • Grassroots Groups Knocking Millions of Doors
    • Ten Factors That Point to a Harris Win
  • Don't Panic - Do Something

Remember:

Harris can win.

It's going to be close.

We need every vote.

You can help us win.

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