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Problems With Polls - The Polls Are Broken
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How Wrong is Wrong?

By Kristi Wachter, 11 October, 2024

This site focuses on polls that were off by at least 10 percentage points.

(As of October 11, 2024, all the polls on the These Polls Were Wrong page were off by at least 15 percentage points.)

 

It's not unusual for polls to be off by a few points - most polls specify a margin of error of three points. However, being off by 10 points or more suggests that something's seriously wrong with polling.

Remember:

Harris can win.

It's going to be close.

We need every vote.

You can help us win.

Contents

  • Don't Panic About the Polls
  • About This Site
  • Pollsters Know Something's Wrong
    • 538 on Bias
    • Polls are improbably close - is it due to pollsters adusting things?
  • These Polls Were Wrong
  • Looking at Other Data Instead of Polls
    • More Donors to Harris in Almost Every State
    • Harris Volunteers - Over 170,000 Volunteers In July Alone
    • Harris Leads in Staff and Field Offices
    • Democrats Massively Outdoing Republicans at Canvassing
    • Grassroots Groups Knocking Millions of Doors
    • Ten Factors That Point to a Harris Win
  • Don't Panic - Do Something

Remember:

Harris can win.

It's going to be close.

We need every vote.

You can help us win.

More info coming soon

There's more info on the way -

Please keep checking back for more polls and more posts.

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