Jay Kuo pointed out:
As Professor Justin Wolfers of the University of Michigan reported, Trump had underperformed the polls in Iowa by 23 points, New Hampshire by 7, South Carolina by 8 and Michigan by a whopping 20.
Here's Wolfers' post on Twitter (X):
According to the polls, Trump was meant to win:
- Iowa by 53 points (he won by 30)
- New Hampshire by 18 points (he won by 11)
- South Carolina by 28 points (he won by 20)
- Michigan by 62 points (he's up by 42)4 states yields 4 examples of him dramatically underperformed polls