According to FiveThirtyEight's average poll tracker, Trump's lead in Michigan was a resounding 78.7 percent as of Monday night, ahead of Haley by 57 points. The final Emerson College survey released just prior to Tuesday's election suggested Trump would beat Haley by a margin of 52 percentage points, 76 to 24.
In a post on X, formerly Twitter, Democratic strategist Tom Bonier said: "Trump's 42 point margin in Michigan fell 15 points short of the final 538 poll average. He continues to underperform."